![]() ![]() For the complete timeseries, see the csv data linked below. This is a plot of daily and smoothed counts of new cases per ten thousand population per day in California outside the Bay Area. The latest estimates are as follows: in Amador County, from NA, 1.00 on Jin Butte County, from NA, 1.02 on Jin Calaveras County, from NA, 1.01 on Jin Colusa County, from NA, 1.00 on Jin Del Norte County, from NA, 1.00 on Jin El Dorado County, from NA, 0.99 on Jin Fresno County, from NA, 0.99 on Jin Glenn County, from NA, 0.98 on Jin Humboldt County, from NA, 0.99 on Jin Imperial County, from NA, 0.99 on Jin Inyo County, from NA, 0.99 on Jin Kern County, from NA, 1.00 on Jin Kings County, from NA, 1.02 on Jin Lake County, from NA, 1.00 on Jin Lassen County, from NA, 0.96 on Jin Los Angeles County, from NA, 0.98 on Jin Madera County, from NA, 1.00 on Jin Mariposa County, from NA, 1.02 on Apin Mendocino County, from NA, 1.01 on Jin Merced County, from NA, 0.93 on Jin Mono County, from NA, 0.99 on Apin Monterey County, from NA, 0.99 on Jin Nevada County, from NA, 0.99 on Jin Orange County, from NA, 1.00 on Jin Placer County, from NA, 0.99 on Jin Plumas County, from NA, 0.98 on Jin Riverside County, from NA, 1.00 on Jin Sacramento County, from NA, 0.99 on Jin San Benito County, from NA, 1.00 on Jin San Bernardino County, from NA, 1.00 on Jin San Diego County, from NA, 0.99 on Jin San Joaquin County, from NA, 1.00 on Jin San Luis Obispo County, from NA, 0.99 on Jin Santa Barbara County, from NA, 0.98 on Jin Santa Cruz County, from NA, 1.01 on Jin Shasta County, from NA, 0.97 on Jin Siskiyou County, from NA, 1.00 on Jin Stanislaus County, from NA, 1.01 on Jin Sutter County, from NA, 1.01 on Jin Tehama County, from NA, 1.01 on Jin Trinity County, from NA, 0.97 on Main Tulare County, from NA, 1.01 on Jin Tuolumne County, from NA, 0.96 on Jin Ventura County, from NA, 1.00 on Jin Yolo County, from NA, 1.00 on Jin Yuba County, from NA, 0.99 on July 17, 2023. ![]() This is a plot of estimated reproduction numbers in California outside the Bay Area. ![]() We use raw data from three sources: new cases by county from California Health and Human Services, (“Cases”, below) wastewater readings from the Cal-SuWers network (“Wastewater (C)”) and additional wastewater figures from BioBot Analytics (“Wastewater (B)”).įor more details see the Methods section below. To eliminate a disease locally, it is not necessary to reduce R to zero, only to reduce it below one for a sustained period. Of particular interest is the question of whether transmission is supercritical, meaning that R > 1, in which case the epidemic can increase in size, or is subcritical, meaning that R < 1, in which case it will fade out. A time-varying reproduction number, commonly written R, is the average number of cases infected by a given case over the course of that individual’s disease progression. We estimate transmission rates of COVID–19 using reproduction numbers. This is a daily updated tracker website providing time-varying estimated reproduction numbers for COVID-19 in California, based on both daily case counts and wastewater readings. COVID-19 R estimation for California Data through July 17, 2023 ![]()
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